Statistical Analysis of 1890 Land-Grant Universities Future Undergraduate Fall Enrollment Using Time-series from 1996 to 2018
Jacob Oluwoye
Abstract
Background: The 19 historically black universities legally participated in the land-grant system by the passage of the Second Monill Act of 1890. The Second Monill Act of 1890 was signed to maintain the land-grant funds equally distributed for all races. African American students were far behind other students in the agricultural field of education and professions. 1890 Land-Grant Universities College of Agriculture plays an important role in keeping the diversity in the agricultural field. However, measuring the development growth seemed important to increase the enrollment pattern of these colleges continuously. to educate and build careers in agriculture, food, natural resources, and human sciences. Purpose: This paper identifies the nature of the phenomenon represented by the sequence of observations, and predicts future values of the college of agriculture’s undergraduate fall enrollment trends of all the 1890 land-grant universities. Method: This research work is carried out on the number of reported undergraduate fall enrollments of the college of agriculture for 18 land-grant universities. A period of 23 years (1996 to 2018) is considered. A time series analysis was performed on this data. Result: The most significant output result of the study is that among the 18 universities, eight universities are highly expected to increase the enrollment number of students, two universities are highly potential for losing students in the future, and others have a relatively inconsistent growth rate. Conclusions: The paper concludes that the P-value indicates that the Time variable has some correlation with fall enrollment in the College of Agriculture in 1890, which is important for decision- making. Furthermore, most of the College of Agriculture at the 1890 Land Grant universities have a high potential for enriching its departments in the future. Colleges of Agriculture at the Land Grant Universities were established to improve higher agricultural education for minorities, especially African Americans. Urgent change is essential in agricultural education at 1890 institutions of higher education in the United States. This is critical to adequately educate and train students to address intricate and unprecedented environmental and human development issues and opportunities in a rapidly transforming global, scientific, and technological environment.
Keywords
enrollment; enrollment trends; trend analysis; 1890 land-grant universities; agricultural education; educational assessment
Cite This Article
Oluwoye, J. (2023). Statistical Analysis of 1890 Land-Grant Universities Future Undergraduate Fall Enrollment Using Time-series from 1996 to 2018. International Journal of Scientific Advances (IJSCIA), Volume 4| Issue 1: Jan-Feb 2023, Pages 47-56, URL: https://www.ijscia.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/Volume4-Issue1-Jan-Feb-No.390-47-56.pdf
Volume 4 | Issue 1: Jan-Feb 2023
